Deere’s Stock Declines Despite Earnings Beat, Outlook Disappoints

Deere & Co. observed a decrease in its shares on Thursday after the agricultural, construction, and turf equipment manufacturer unveiled fiscal first-quarter earnings that surpassed expectations.

However, the company offered a pessimistic outlook for the full year, with sales in various business segments trailing behind industry benchmarks.

In premarket trading, Deere’s stock (DE) declined by 3.4%, suggesting an opening at the lowest price since December 13.

The net income for the quarter ending on January 28 decreased to $1.75 billion, or $6.23 per share, compared to $1.96 billion, or $6.55 per share, in the same period the previous year.

Agriculture
Segment sales forecasts show significant declines across agricultural and construction sectors.

Despite the decline, this exceeded the FactSet consensus for earnings per share, which was projected at $5.26.

Net sales saw an 8% decline, reaching $10.49 billion, surpassing the FactSet consensus of $10.30 billion.

Total revenue, including interest and other income, fell 3.7% to $12.19 billion but surpassed expectations set at $11.48 billion.

Within Deere’s business segments, production and precision agriculture sales experienced a 7% decline to $4.85 billion, while small agriculture and turf sales dropped by 19% to $2.43 billion, despite price increases failing to offset lower shipment volumes.

On a brighter note, construction and forestry sales exhibited a marginal increase of 0.3% to $3.21 billion, attributed to higher prices compensating for lower volumes.

Looking forward to 2024, Deere expects fiscal net income in the range of $7.50 to $7.75 billion, a significant decrease from the $10.17 billion reported in fiscal 2023.

This projection falls below the FactSet consensus of $8.03 billion.

Agriculture equipment
Net income declines, but earnings per share exceed FactSet consensus.

The company attributed this forecast to an anticipated 10% to 15% decline in the U.S. and Canada’s large agriculture industry, a 5% to 10% downturn in the small agriculture and turf sector, and a flat to 5% decrease in the construction and equipment industry.

By segment, Deere expects production and precision ag sales to fall around 20%, small ag and turf sales to decline by 10% to 15%, and construction and forestry sales to drop by 5% to 10%.

Despite the tough outlook, Deere’s stock has gained 1% over the past three months, in contrast to the S&P 500, which rallied 11.1% over the same period until Wednesday.

Sajda Parveen
Sajda Parveen
Sajda Praveen is a market expert. She has over 6 years of experience in the field and she shares her expertise with readers. You can reach out to her at [email protected]
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