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Tech Titans Join Forces to Combat Election-Related Misinformation

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A coalition of 20 prominent technology companies made a joint pledge on Friday to tackle the spread of AI-driven misinformation during this year’s elections.

Their focus lies particularly on combating deepfakes, which utilize misleading audio, video, and imagery to impersonate key figures in democratic processes or disseminate false voting details.

Microsoft, Meta, Google, Amazon, IBM, Adobe, and chip designer Arm are among the signatories of this commitment. The pact also includes emerging artificial intelligence firms like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Stability AI, alongside social media giants such as Snap, TikTok, and X.

As global elections loom, affecting over four billion individuals in more than 40 nations, tech platforms brace for the challenge.

A Democratic state senator in California
Josh Becker, a Democratic state senator in California

The proliferation of AI-generated content raises significant concerns about election-related misinformation. Clarity, a machine learning firm, reports a staggering 900% year-over-year increase in deepfake creation.

Election misinformation has plagued democratic processes since the 2016 presidential campaign when Russian actors exploited social platforms to spread false narratives. Today, lawmakers are increasingly alarmed by the swift advancement of AI technology.

Josh Becker, a Democratic state senator in California, voices apprehension about the potential misuse of AI in influencing voters. While he welcomes industry initiatives, he stresses the need for clear legislative standards.

Despite efforts, the development of detection and watermarking technologies for deepfakes lags. Companies currently focus on establishing technical standards and detection mechanisms.

However, combating this multifaceted issue remains a daunting task. AI-generated text detection services exhibit biases while identifying manipulated images and videos proves challenging. Even with protective measures like invisible watermarks, loopholes exist, and certain signals are absent in audio and video generators.

IBM's chief privacy and trust officer
Christina Montgomery is IBM’s chief privacy and trust officer

News of the coalition follows OpenAI’s announcement of Sora, a new AI model for generating videos. Sora, akin to OpenAI’s DALL-E for images, crafts high-definition video clips based on user inputs or existing images.

Participating companies commit to eight overarching principles, including evaluating model risks, detecting and addressing misleading content on their platforms, and ensuring transparency in these processes. However, adherence to these commitments is contingent upon their relevance to each company’s services.

Kent Walker, Google’s president of global affairs, underscores the significance of safeguarding democracy through secure elections. The coalition reflects the industry’s dedication to combatting AI-generated misinformation that undermines trust.

IBM’s chief privacy and trust officer, Christina Montgomery, emphasizes the urgency of collaborative action in safeguarding individuals and societies from the heightened risks posed by AI-generated deceptive content during this pivotal election year.

Shaping the Future of Retail: Insights from Industry Leaders

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Retail industry leaders envision a future where smaller, more efficient stores dominate the landscape, strategically positioned based on customer demand.

Fran Horowitz, CEO of Abercrombie & Fitch, highlights the shift from large, unproductive stores to intimate, experiential spaces driven by consumer preferences.

Michelle Gass, CEO of Levi Strauss, emphasizes the need for stores to offer more than just transactions, becoming experiential hubs and mini distribution centers. Jens Grede of Skims stresses the importance of prime locations, foreseeing a decline in less desirable areas.

Geoffroy van Raemdonck, CEO of Neiman Marcus Group, predicts a rise in immersive, multisensory retail experiences.

Trina Spear, CEO of Figs, emphasizes the shift towards stores as community gathering places rather than mere transactional spaces.

Chris Nicholas, CEO of Sam’s Club, underscores the importance of stores as last-mile fulfillment centers, providing convenience and speed to customers. Kara Trent of Under Armour predicts a blend of experiential and transactional retail, tailored to different consumer needs and locations.

Former CEO of Walmart
Marc Lore, former CEO of Walmart

The rise of technology, data, and AI is identified as a major disruptive force in retail. Leaders anticipate using predictive analytics and machine learning to enhance operational efficiency and personalize customer experiences.

Marc Lore, former CEO of Walmart U.S. e-commerce, highlights conversational commerce as a transformative trend enabled by AI and natural language processing.

In the next five years, retailers expect a seamless integration of digital and physical channels, with AI playing a crucial role in personalization and product discovery. Yael Cosset, CIO of Kroger, envisions AI augmenting the capabilities of store associates to provide enhanced customer service.

Dave Kimbell, CEO of Ulta, sees AI driving personalized customer communication and experiences.

Chris Nicholas
Chris Nicholas, CEO of Sam’s Club (Credits: Sam’s club)

As for the future of retail, leaders predict a continued preference for in-store shopping, complemented by digital channels. They emphasize the importance of understanding and meeting evolving consumer expectations.

Retailers that embrace new technologies, offer personalized experiences, and adapt to changing consumer behaviors are expected to thrive. Inclusive sizing, customization, and sustainability are identified as emerging retail standards.

Jens Grede emphasizes the dominance of brands with strong business models, while Trina Spear highlights the importance of community and connection in retail experiences. That includes inclusive sizing, customization, and sustainable practices.

CFPB: Switching Credit Card Issuers Could Save Users More Than $400 Annually

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The largest credit card companies in the nation typically impose higher interest rates compared to smaller banks and credit unions, potentially leading to significant savings for the average cardholder, as indicated by an analysis released by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau on Friday.

However, experts suggest that depending on the specific card and usage patterns, some consumers might derive greater financial benefits by sticking with larger lenders.

During the first half of 2023, the largest U.S. lenders maintained a typical credit card annual percentage rate that stood 8 to 10 percentage points higher than their smaller counterparts, as highlighted by the financial watchdog.

The rise in rates for consumer debt and savings products correlates with the U.S. Federal Reserve’s incremental increase in its benchmark interest rate. Although the CFPB analysis encompasses all but the most recent hike, which occurred with a quarter-point increase in July.

According to the CFPB analysis, consumers carrying a $5,000 balance could potentially save $400 to $500 annually by opting for cards from smaller lenders over larger ones, underscoring the significant stakes involved for cardholders.

TransUnion data suggests that the average individual maintains a balance of $6,360.

Large lenders charge 8-10% higher rates;
Large lenders charge 8-10% higher rates; small lenders offer potential $400-$500 yearly savings.

“We’re finding many of them would be better off with newer entrants or smaller players in the market,” remarked CFPB Director Rohit Chopra during an appearance on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Friday. “For the average household… switching can actually save them hundreds and hundreds of dollars over the course of the year.”

The agency’s findings emerge against the backdrop of record-high average credit card balances and total credit card debt as of the end of 2023.

Federal Reserve data indicates that the average credit card interest rate for all accountholders exceeded 21% in November, marking a new record.

The CFPB’s analysis categorizes large lenders as the nation’s top 25 and small lenders as all others within its sample. It draws upon data from 643 general-purpose credit cards offered across 156 issuers in total, including 84 banks and 72 credit unions.

Notably, the vast majority of the credit card market is dominated by large lenders, with the top 10 holding an 83% market share and the top 30 collectively accounting for approximately 95%, according to another recent CFPB report.

In response to the report, spokespeople from the Consumer Bankers Association and American Bankers Association emphasized the highly competitive nature of the credit card market, offering consumers a diverse array of card options with varying features and pricing.

The credit card market is dominated by large lenders
The credit card market is dominated by large lenders, offering diverse options; experts emphasize a competitive nature.

“The credit card market is highly competitive and gives consumers a broad range of cards from which to choose,” remarked Lindsey Johnson, CEO of the Consumer Bankers Association.

The CFPB’s new interest-rate findings remain consistent irrespective of a consumer’s credit score. For instance, individuals categorized with “poor” credit (a score of 619 or less) faced a median average percentage rate of 20.62% at smaller institutions compared to 28.49% at larger ones.

Ted Rossman, an industry analyst at CreditCards.com, pointed out that while interest rates are a crucial consideration for consumers carrying a balance, they may not matter for those who pay their bills in full each month.

Rossman highlighted that large lenders often offer more robust rewards programs, albeit with higher annual fees on average, potentially offsetting costs for users who responsibly leverage these benefits.

Additionally, while small issuers typically maintain lower ongoing APRs, large lenders may provide promotions such as temporary 0% interest on balance transfers, which could aid users in paying off high-interest card debt.

Nevertheless, Rossman cautioned that individuals carrying a balance might be best served by avoiding credit card usage altogether and focusing on paying down existing balances, possibly with the guidance of a nonprofit credit counselor.

“I’d be hard-pressed to find a case where even an 8%, 10%, or 12% card makes sense for them,” Rossman concluded.

Carl Icahn Gains Board Seats at JetBlue After Acquiring Stake in the Airline

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Carl Icahn’s efforts to secure seats on JetBlue Airways’ board of directors have succeeded, as confirmed in a statement from the airline on Friday.

This comes shortly after Icahn disclosed his ownership of nearly 10% of the New York-based airline and his negotiations for board representation.

The two newly appointed directors are Jesse Lynn, serving as general counsel of Icahn Enterprises, and Steven Miller, a portfolio manager at Icahn Capital.

Following the announcement, JetBlue’s shares experienced a roughly 4% increase in after-hours trading.

JetBlue's shares rise 4%
JetBlue’s shares rise 4% after announcing Icahn’s successful push for board representation.

Icahn’s involvement with JetBlue marks his return to the airline industry. Notably, in one of his past activist campaigns, he took TWA private in the late 1980s, a move that ultimately led to the airline’s struggles and eventual bankruptcy.

In his disclosure of the JetBlue stake, Icahn emphasized his belief in the undervaluation of the company’s shares. JetBlue’s stock has declined by over 19% in the past 12 months, contrasting with the approximately 7% increase in the NYSE Arca Airline Index over the same period.

The recent appointment of Joanna Geraghty as JetBlue’s new CEO signals a fresh direction for the carrier. Geraghty, alongside a pair of experienced airline veterans, aims to steer JetBlue toward profitability and operational stability.

Joanna Geraghty becomes the CEO of Jet Blue
Joanna Geraghty takes the helm as JetBlue’s new CEO, aiming to steer the airline toward profitability.

In response to the developments, Geraghty expressed optimism, stating, “Building on our distinct brand and unique value proposition, we are focused on delivering value to our shareholders and all of our stakeholders, and we welcome the contributions of our new board members as we move forward with that common goal.”

JetBlue’s financial performance has been marred by losses since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic.

To address this, the airline has embarked on cost-cutting measures and endeavors to enhance reliability amid a resurgence in travel demand following the pandemic.

Additionally, JetBlue’s proposed merger with budget carrier Spirit Airlines was recently blocked by a federal judge, citing concerns over diminished competition. Both JetBlue and Spirit are appealing the ruling in hopes of overturning the decision.

The top 10 U.S. Cities where renters stretch their incomes the furthest, with California taking the lead

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Shalonda Lucas cherishes the best of both worlds: the affordability of suburban life without sacrificing the vibrancy of city living.

The 39-year-old recruiter resides in Surprise, Arizona, recently crowned the second-best locale in the nation for renters to maximize their earnings, as per a recent RentCafe study.

Expressing her fondness for the area, Lucas explains, “Surprise is one of those cities that’s growing — new businesses coming might have more job opportunities coming into play, and it’s a very diverse city.

It’s continuing to grow and expand, and I see a lot of people, even from California, coming here.”

Despite paying $1,795 monthly in rent, slightly more than her previous residence in North Phoenix, Lucas, earning approximately $70,000 annually, attests that the investment is worthwhile. She revels in the entertainment and shopping options that Surprise offers while finding the city eminently affordable.

“It’s very affordable,” Lucas affirms. “If you’re looking for something luxurious, that’s more upscale, and you’re looking for a city where you want to retire, Surprise is it.”

Sunnyvale, California, balances high living costs
Sunnyvale, California, balances high living costs with substantial incomes, making it surprisingly affordable.

Surprise trails Sunnyvale, California, in RentCafe’s rankings, where residents manage steep living costs due to high incomes.

In Sunnyvale, where the average monthly rent sits at $3,013 — well above the national average of $1,702 — renters boast a median income of $145,723, nearly triple the national median of $49,201 among renters, according to RentCafe’s analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data.

In Surprise, the average monthly rent hovers at $1,781, only slightly exceeding the national average. However, akin to Sunnyvale, the median annual income among renters is also higher at $86,236, rendering it a relatively affordable residential option.

RentCafe’s comprehensive study juxtaposed median incomes among renters in 189 U.S. cities with local average rent prices to assess where renters can optimize their financial resources.

While rental expenses constituted the primary factor in the ranking, it also factored in local costs of essentials such as food, healthcare, transportation, and more to determine overall affordability.

RentCafe's study reveals cities where renters maximize income
RentCafe’s study reveals cities where renters maximize income, yet the housing burden remains a concern nationwide.

Here are the top 10 U.S. cities where renters’ incomes stretch the farthest, according to RentCafe:

1. Sunnyvale, California
Median renters’ household income: $145,723
Average monthly rent: $3,013
2. Surprise, Arizona
Median renters’ household income: $86,236
Average monthly rent: $1,781
3. Arlington, Virginia
Median renters’ household income: $102,710
Average monthly rent: $2,494
4. Bethesda, Maryland
Median renters’ household income: $99,315
Average monthly rent: $2,684
5. Alexandria, Virginia
Median renters’ household income: $89,845
Average monthly rent: $2,068
6. Westminster, Colorado
Median renters’ household income: $75,841
Average monthly rent: $1,864
7. Scottsdale, Arizona
Median renters’ household income: $82,865
Average monthly rent: $2,084
8. Round Rock, Texas
Median renters’ household income: $68,517
Average monthly rent: $1,574
9. Plano, Texas
Median renters’ household income: $76,824
Average monthly rent: $1,786
10. Broken Arrow, Oklahoma
Median renters’ household income: $54,594
Average monthly rent: $1,117

While residents of these prime locales might effectively manage their finances, this isn’t the reality for many across the U.S. A recent Harvard study revealed that an increasing number of renters are burdened by housing costs, with half of U.S. renters allocating more than 30% of their income toward rent.

Experts advise maintaining rental costs at or below 30% of income to ensure financial stability.

Know How Two Cousins Turned a Cookie Side Hustle into a Billion-Dollar Empire

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In 2017, two cousins lacking any professional baking experience made a bold move to launch a cookie business together.

Today, Crumbl Cookies boasts over 980 stores nationwide, crossing the $1 billion sales mark across all franchises and selling over 300 million cookies in 2022, according to co-founders Jason McGowan and Sawyer Hemsley.

“I never imagined in my wildest dreams that we would do over $1 billion in sales,” remarks McGowan, 43, who estimates investing around $68,000 of his own money to kickstart the venture. (The company opted not to disclose its 2023 sales, citing ongoing auditing.)

The ascent of Crumbl began when McGowan, a former tech executive at Ancestry.com, and i.TV teamed up with his cousin. At the time of their first store opening in Logan, Utah, in 2017, Hemsley was still studying marketing at Utah State University.

“We just thought it was a fun side hustle,” reflects McGowan.

Crumbl's weekly cookie drops on TikTok create buzz,
Crumbl’s weekly cookie drops on TikTok create buzz, with flavors garnering reviews from millions of followers.

Although neither McGowan nor Hemsley had prior professional baking experience, they rigorously experimented with various cookie recipes, soliciting feedback from friends, family, and strangers. Their confidence grew in Crumbl’s signature chocolate chip cookies, which became the cornerstone of their initial location.

Leveraging their backgrounds in tech and marketing, the co-founders capitalized on social media to cultivate a substantial following from the outset. Employing tactics akin to the fashion industry, they orchestrated weekly “drops,” unveiling new, limited-edition cookie flavors on TikTok.

“It creates that hype. It creates that excitement. And it also creates some scarcity, because you can only have that cookie for that week,” explains McGowan. Individual Crumbl cookies typically range from $4 to $5 each, with prices decreasing for packs of four, six, or 12, as per the company’s website.

Crumbl’s social media presence now exceeds 16 million followers across platforms, with TikTok emerging as a significant platform boasting over 7 million followers and a viral hashtag, “#TasteWeekly.” Users flock to TikTok to post reviews, both favorable and critical, of Crumbl’s latest cookie flavors.

Despite challenges, Crumbl's co-founders see their success
Despite challenges, Crumbl’s co-founders see their success as replicable and continue to expand, eyeing international markets.

The buzz surrounding Crumbl has attracted considerable interest in franchising, leading to the opening of over 600 new stores between 2022 and 2023. While the expansion rate may decelerate going forward, Crumbl has ambitions for international growth, including in the U.K.

However, Crumbl’s success has also drawn imitators, resulting in two trademark infringement lawsuits in 2022, both resolved through undisclosed settlements. “Just as any company would, Crumbl chose to protect its brand,” notes a company spokesperson.

McGowan acknowledges that one of his key takeaways thus far is the potential simplicity of replicating Crumbl’s success.

“As I get older and as I build this company, I realize more and more that everything that we do is just something that anyone can do,” he reflects. “Whether you don’t have a mixer yet, or you don’t have a recipe for a cookie yet, you just get started.”

Market Recap: Stocks Go Up Even as Tech Companies Struggle

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As the trading day draws to a close, it’s evident that this week has been quite turbulent. The noteworthy aspect is the market’s resilience in rebounding from early losses, despite a concerning uptick in producer prices and escalating bond yields.

This contrasts with Tuesday’s trading pattern, where a similar surge in consumer prices led to a sharp rise in bond yields and a corresponding plunge in stock prices.

Remarkably, the S&P 500 managed to clinch a record high by the end of Thursday, nudging the index slightly above the breakeven mark for the week.

Should these gains hold, it would mark the S&P 500’s ascent for the fifteenth time in the past sixteen weeks, signifying a remarkable streak of success.

Market rebounds despite inflation fears
Market rebounds despite inflation fears, S&P 500 hits record high, showcasing remarkable resilience. (Credits: Google Finance)

Shifting focus to Friday’s market dynamics, it’s worth noting that the S&P 500 is holding steady without significant contributions from the Magnificent Seven—Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla.

Most of these stocks are trading lower today, save for Nvidia and Tesla. Notably, Jim Cramer rebranded the group as the Significant Six after excluding Tesla. Within our Club portfolio, we maintain positions in all six of these market leaders.

Noteworthy sectors driving Friday’s market performance include materials, healthcare, and consumer staples.

Among the standout performers this week, Wells Fargo emerged as the top gainer, propelled by a 7% surge on Thursday following regulators’ termination of a consent order.

GE Healthcare followed closely behind, buoyed by a favorable upgrade from UBS on Monday and a bullish initiation from HSBC with a Street-high $100 price target on Thursday.

Healthcare, materials, and consumer staples sectors drive the market, despite tech stock struggles.
Friday’s winners: healthcare, materials, and consumer staples sectors drive the market, despite tech stock struggles.

Despite initial concerns over a 13 million share secondary offering tied to General Electric’s stake in GE Healthcare, the stock reversed early losses on Friday, indicating robust resilience. Other notable winners this week included Eli Lilly, Foot Locker, Danaher, Linde, and Disney.

Conversely, mega-cap tech stocks weighed heavily on our portfolio’s performance this week, with Alphabet, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon among the notable laggards. Starbucks also struggled, prompting us to increase our position on Wednesday as shares retraced to pre-earnings levels.

While Starbucks faces the challenge of reigniting same-store sales growth, the stock’s resilience post-earnings suggests that much of the downside has already been factored into current valuations.

The $28.6 Slice of Pizza: Read to Know Which City is Making Money Through It

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New York City has built its reputation on two pillars: its high cost of living and its iconic pizza. Now, it’s solidified its status as the epicenter of pricey pizza.

According to recent research conducted by Clever Real Estate, the five boroughs officially claim the title for the most expensive pizza in the nation.

Ultimate pizza destination in the USA.
From pricey pies to savory sensations: Discover why NYC is renowned as the ultimate pizza destination in the USA.

On average, a large cheese pizza in the Big Apple will set you back $28.60, nearly double the cost of a plain pie in Richmond, Virginia, which holds the distinction of offering the country’s cheapest pizza at an average price of $14.75.

Nationwide, the average price for a large cheese pizza stands at $19.34, marking a 4% increase from the previous year, as reported by the study.

America's most expensive pizza haven: New York City.
Pizza paradise or wallet woe? Explore the culinary and financial landscape of America’s most expensive pizza haven: New York City.

Clever Real Estate analyzed pizza data from the 50 largest metro areas in the U.S. to compile its ranking of the nation’s top pizza cities. Factors considered included the density of pizzerias per 100,000 residents, the average rating of these establishments, and the typical cost of a pizza.

While New York boasts the highest pizza prices, it also enjoys a reputation as the pizza capital of the country. Clever’s research revealed that 41% of Americans regard Gotham as one of the top five pizza cities.

European Markets Ascend Following Earnings Deluge; Delivery Hero Up 7%

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European markets ascended on Wednesday as investors evaluated incoming corporate earnings and inflation prints in both the U.S. and the U.K.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index was up 0.5% by early afternoon, with media stocks adding 1.1% to lead gains as most sectors and major bourses advanced, with earnings the main driver of share price movement.

Delivery Hero
Stoxx 600 rose 0.5%, and media stocks led with a 1.1% gain, driven by earnings.

U.K. inflation data remained unchanged at 4% year-on-year in January, as revealed by new figures Wednesday morning, falling short of expectations due to easing prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages.

The CPI reading preceded a fourth-quarter gross domestic product print on Thursday that could potentially confirm the country’s entry into a technical recession.

The Stoxx 600 index concluded Tuesday’s session with a 1% decline. Losses were exacerbated following the release of new data indicating that U.S. inflation increased more than anticipated in January, with persistently high shelter prices putting pressure on consumers.

Delivery Hero
The U.S. Fed may slow rate cuts due to unexpected CPI increases.

The headline Consumer Price Index rose by 0.3% month-on-month and 3.1% annually, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, surpassing a Dow Jones consensus forecast of 0.2% for the month and 2.9% year-on-year.

The hotter-than-expected print suggests that the U.S. Federal Reserve might exercise more caution regarding the possibility of reducing interest rates as swiftly and substantially as the market anticipates.

Wednesday witnessed earnings reports from several major European businesses, including ABN AMRO and Capgemini.

Sony Reduces PS5 Sales Projection to 21M, Despite Record Revenue

Sony reduced its sales forecast for its flagship PlayStation 5 console on Wednesday, after warning of weaker transactions in its key gaming division.

The Japanese gaming giant said it now anticipates selling 21 million units of the PS5 in the fiscal year ending March, down from a previous forecast of 25 million units.

The reduction in forecast follows Sony’s record quarterly revenue in the crucial December quarter, encompassing the holiday season.

Sony moved 8.2 million units of its flagship PlayStation 5 console during its fiscal third quarter, spanning from October to December.

Thus far in its fiscal year, Sony has sold 16.4 million PS5 units.

Additionally, Sony revised down its fiscal year sales forecast for the gaming division by 210 billion yen to 4.15 trillion yen, citing an expected decline in hardware sales.

Sony PlayStation 5
Financial services unit revenue soars over 1,100% in December.

Now, the company faces the challenge of sustaining momentum for the PS5, released over three years ago. In October, Sony introduced a refreshed version of the console boasting improved specs.

Nintendo, Sony’s rival, has faced a comparable challenge, yet it has sustained interest in its nearly seven-year-old Switch console through new game releases and media featuring its iconic characters such as Super Mario.

Sony reported a 16% year-on-year increase in sales at its gaming business, reaching 1.4 trillion yen in the December quarter, as announced on Wednesday.

However, the division experienced a 26% decline in operating profit, attributed to heightened losses from hardware due to promotional activities during the period and a decrease in sales of first-party games.

Sony revised its sales forecast for the entire company to 12.3 trillion yen from 12.4 trillion yen for the fiscal year.

When Sony disclosed its results on Wednesday, it surpassed analyst expectations by a significant margin in its fiscal third quarter.

December quarter comparison of Sony’s performance to LSEG consensus estimates:

  • Revenue: 3.75 trillion Japanese yen ($24.9 billion) versus 3.58 trillion yen expected
  • Operating profit: 463.3 billion yen versus 428.4 billion yen expected

Sony revealed its intention to partially spin off its financial services business through a public listing.

The plan involves distributing slightly over 80% of its shares of Sony Financial Group through dividends in kind as a consequence of the spinoff, with the listing scheduled for October 2025.

Sony PlayStation 5
Sony cancels merger with Zee Entertainment, eyeing the Indian market.

During the December quarter, Sony’s financial services unit experienced a remarkable revenue surge of over 1,100%, reaching 311.7 billion yen.

The company attributed this growth to increased sales in its insurance business.

Additionally, Sony reported a 21% increase in sales in its image sensor business, supplying companies like Apple with smartphones.

In January, Sony abandoned a proposed merger with Indian company Zee Entertainment.

The deal, in negotiation for over two years, was viewed as Sony’s entry into the lucrative Indian entertainment market.

Sony’s Chief Financial Officer, Hiroki Totoki, remarked on Wednesday about India’s significant growth potential.

He stated that the company will explore diverse opportunities in the country and will consider alternatives to the unsuccessful Zee merger.

Valentine’s Day Chocolate Prices Soar Amid Cocoa Shortage

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Classic Valentine’s trio—roses, dinner, chocolates—may surprise lovers with higher prices this year, thanks to cocoa and sugar hikes, shaking up the traditional romantic scene.

Last week, cocoa prices reached unprecedented highs due to adverse weather and disease issues affecting crop yields in Ghana and the Ivory Coast, which collectively produce 60% of the world’s cocoa.

Sergey Chetvertakov, principal research analyst for cocoa and sugar markets at S&P Global noted that, “This has led to a decrease in production, and had created a shortage of cocoa supplies in the market.”

He mentioned that this marks the third straight year of insufficient cocoa supply, indicating no immediate relief ahead.

Cocoa futures have risen by almost 40% since the year began, reaching an intraday record high of $5,874 per metric ton on Thursday.

David Branch, senior vice president at Wells Fargo Agri-Food Institute, explained, “What’s driving all of this is basically this El Nino that’s in place right now. It’s really affecting the crop.”

He observed that this also impacts sugar crops.

Chocolate
Cocoa prices soar due to adverse weather, and disease affecting Ghana, Ivory Coast, major producers.

The El Niño weather phenomenon has ushered in drier temperatures across Southeast Asia, India, and certain regions of Africa, contributing to a surge in soft commodities such as sugar and cocoa last year.

Chocolate and cacao have long been linked to love and fertility since the times of the Maya and Aztec civilizations.

These commodities were introduced to Western Europe by Spanish conquistadores. Today, chocolate and Valentine’s Day are inseparable, despite criticism suggesting the association is fueled by marketing tactics.

However, amidst persistent global inflation, sweets offer a more affordable means of partaking in the celebrations.

Kim, a 28-year-old woman in Singapore, mentioned that she typically chooses to bake cookies for her loved ones on Valentine’s Day instead.

Mintec’s Valentine’s Day meal index, monitoring prices of typical Valentine’s Day items like chocolates, lobster tails, beef loins, and potatoes, surged 13.8% year-on-year in January.

Dinner
Valentine’s Day meal index surged 13.8%

The spike was attributed to elevated lobster tail prices, with the report highlighting that January’s average prices are 40% higher than last year’s due to production shortfalls in vital regions like Maine and Canada.

According to a report from Mintec-subsidiary Urner Barry on Feb. 8, lobster prices are anticipated to stay high in February due to reduced supplies from Canada and the U.S.

Brexit Britain Falters Compared to Peers, Goldman Sachs Asserts

LONDON — Following the Brexit referendum in 2016, Britain has shown a comparative economic underperformance in contrast to other advanced economies, as per a recent analysis by Goldman Sachs.

The report, titled “The Structural and Cyclical Costs of Brexit,” endeavors to measure the economic impact of the Leave vote.

In a recent note titled “The Structural and Cyclical Costs of Brexit,” the Wall Street Bank estimates that the U.K. economy grew 5% less over the past eight years than other comparable countries.

The actual blow to the British economy could range from 4% to 8% of real gross domestic product (GDP), according to the bank, recognizing the challenges in isolating the impact of Brexit amid concurrent economic occurrences such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2022 energy crisis.

Real GDP, a growth measure adjusted for inflation, serves as the yardstick for this assessment.

Brexit
The United Kingdom chose to leave the EU with a 52% to 48% vote on June 23, 2016

Goldman Sachs identified three primary factors contributing to the economic setback: diminished trade, decreased business investment, and labor shortages stemming from reduced immigration from the EU.

A spokesperson from the Treasury has said that the government was actively leveraging post-Brexit freedoms to bolster economic growth, which includes the repeal of EU financial services regulations.

This move, the spokesperson contended, has the potential to unlock an estimated £100 billion in investment over the coming decade.

The United Kingdom chose to leave the EU with a 52% to 48% vote on June 23, 2016 and officially departed from the union on January 31, 2020.

During this span until the present day, U.K. goods trade has lagged behind other advanced economies by approximately 15% since the Leave vote, according to the bank’s calculations. Additionally, business investment has fallen significantly below pre-referendum levels.

Meanwhile, immigration from the EU has decreased, fulfilling a central promise of the Vote Leave campaign. However, this decline has been offset by a less economically active group of non-EU migrants, predominantly students, according to the research.

CEO of Goldman Sachs
CEO of Goldman Sachs- David M. Solomon

“Taken together, the evidence points to a significant long-run output cost of Brexit,” stated the authors of the report.

The bank observed that the decrease in trade aligned with predictions, while the shortfall in investment was “more pronounced” than initially anticipated.

Nevertheless, it highlighted that the changes in immigration trends carried the most significant cyclical implications for the U.K. economy, particularly concerning inflation.

While the report highlighted that fresh non-EU trade agreements might potentially alleviate the expenses of Brexit, assessments indicate that the advantage is expected to be minimal.

The British government approximates that its free trade agreement with Australia will enhance U.K. GDP by 0.08% annually, whereas the economic ramifications of a recent trade deal with Switzerland remain uncertain.

Meanwhile, the schedules for potential new trade agreements with significant partners like the U.S. and India have not been done yet.

Bitcoin Reclaims $1 Trillion Market Cap as Cryptocurrency Surges

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Bitcoin surged to another more than two-year high on Wednesday, pushing its market cap back over $1 trillion as the growing success of U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs turned investor sentiment more positive.

The flagship cryptocurrency was last higher by 4% at $51,660.00, according to Coin Metrics. Earlier in the morning it rose to $52,079.00, its highest level since December 2021.

Its market cap, or the value of all the bitcoin in circulation, rose above $1 trillion for the first time since late 2021, according to CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin rises to another December 2021 high, breaching $52,000 Wednesday.

The move was driven in part by increased demand for bitcoin thanks to the newly launched U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs as outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin ETF (GBTC), which weighed on market sentiment for the earlier part of the past month, have greatly diminished.

“Yesterday, we saw $651 million [in] inflows, the largest daily inflow since the launch day,” James Butterfill, head of research at crypto-focused asset manager CoinShares, told CNBC.

“Furthermore, there were 12,000 bitcoins demanded by the issuers yesterday at a time when only 900 are produced every day. Investors are beginning to realize that demand is beginning to outstrip newly issued supply.”

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Anticipation for Bitcoin’s halving event fuels investor optimism and price growth.

Some $9.5 billion of new money has entered the bitcoin market through the funds since they began trading on Jan. 11, according to data provider CryptoQuant.

In the past two weeks, more than 71% of new money invested in Bitcoin has originated from the spot ETFs, not including GBTC.

Ether was last trading 4% higher at $2,743.08, after earlier touching a May 2022 high.

The bitcoin surge sent related stocks higher. Trading platform Coinbase surged 11% and bitcoin proxy Microstrategy rose 10%. Miners Iris Energy and CleanSpark rocketed to 17% and 14%, respectively, while Marathon Digital jumped 13%.

Bitcoin rallied 157% in 2023, as anticipation built for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s approval of bitcoin exchange-traded funds — or ETFs — which eventually came in January this year.

Although the price of bitcoin dipped after the ETF approvals, investors are still upbeat about the cryptocurrency’s setup for the year.

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U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs drive increased demand, inflows top $9.5 billion.

In addition to ETF inflows, they’re also closely watching the “halving” — a supply-restricting event written in Bitcoin’s code that happens every four years and is slated for April. Historically, halving has preceded Bitcoin hitting new all-time highs in the ensuing months.

“If the pace of bitcoin issuance slows while demand either remains steady or increases, the effect on price can be substantial,” said Duncan Ash, Head of Product go-to-market strategy at Coincover.

He added, “On Feb. 12 alone, bitcoin ETFs purchased ten times the amount of bitcoin that miners were able to create in a day.”

“The upcoming halving will reduce supply even further,” he added. “If the next halving follows the same pattern, we can expect continued growth in Bitcoin’s price during the months ahead.”

Dollar Slipped Fresh Three-Month High Investors Consolidated Gains

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On Wednesday, the dollar slipped from a recent three-month high as investors reacted to the unexpectedly high U.S. inflation report from the previous session. This delayed expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut until mid-year.

The latest U.S. consumer price index (CPI) data for January showed a 3.1% increase from a year earlier, surpassing the anticipated 2.9% rise.

Consequently, fed funds futures now indicate no Fed cut in March and an approximately 80% likelihood of easing at the June meeting, according to LSEG’s rate probability app.

Market futures are also reflecting expectations of three 25-basis-point rate cuts this year. The dollar index, which gauges the U.S. currency against six others, declined marginally to 104.97, after reaching a recent high of the same value.

Dollar
UK inflation remains steady, relieving pressure on the Bank of England.

Helen Given, an FX trader at Monex USA in Washington, commented, “The U.S. dollar could have a bit of room left to run up slightly more through the end of Q1 of this year.”

Given pointed out the resilience of the U.S. economy, suggesting that further remarks from Fed officials could bolster the dollar.

Given added, “I’ve started to use the term ‘American exceptionalism’ when discussing the picture for the U.S. dollar, as outperformance of the U.S. economy over its peers over the last year has become almost so commonplace we’ve come to expect it.”

Regarding UK inflation, the sterling dipped 0.4% to $1.2541 following data indicating no acceleration in January, potentially alleviating pressure on the Bank of England (BoE) to maintain current interest rates.

The annual UK inflation rate remained at 4.0% in January, unchanged from December, contrary to economists’ forecasts of a 4.2% increase.

Dollar
Bitcoin surges to $51,578, reaching its highest level since December 2021.

In Japan, currency officials cautioned against swift and speculative yen movements, leading to a 0.1% decline in the dollar against the yen. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki emphasized monitoring the market closely to prevent undesirable economic impacts.

Regarding eurozone economic data, the euro edged up 0.1% to $1.0720 despite flat economic growth in the region during the last quarter of 2023. Eurozone employment rose slightly, in line with expectations from a Reuters poll.

Meanwhile, in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin surged to $51,578, its highest level since December 2021.

European Markets Closes Down at 1% Post Higher US Inflation

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European markets concluded lower on Tuesday as investors evaluated incoming corporate earnings reports and a significant U.S. inflation print.

The Stoxx 600 index wrapped up the session down 1%, exacerbating earlier weakness. A 2.7% drop in the tech sector led the declines, with financial services stocks also losing 1.7%.

The losses deepened following the release of new figures indicating that U.S. inflation surged more than anticipated in January, with persistently high shelter prices putting pressure on consumers.

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The headline consumer price index rose by 0.3% month-on-month and 3.1% annually, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics

The headline consumer price index rose by 0.3% month-on-month and 3.1% annually, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, surpassing a Dow Jones consensus forecast of 0.2% for the month and 2.9% year-on-year.

The unexpectedly high print suggests that the U.S. Federal Reserve might adopt a more cautious approach to cutting interest rates as swiftly and sharply as the market anticipates.

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The tech sector saw a 2.7% decline; CPI was up 3.1% annually.

Despite notable fluctuations in individual stocks as corporate results are disclosed, the regional Stoxx index has seen subdued activity thus far in February, following a robust finish to January.

This is occurring despite significant movements in individual stocks as company results are reported. This week will witness earnings reports from several major European corporations, including Heineken, Airbus, Renault, NatWest, and Commerzbank.

Investors may particularly focus on consumer stocks and their implications for the strength of specific economies, as central banks keep a close eye on the trajectory of growth and inflation.

Pinterest Stocks Decline Due To Revenue Shortfall

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Pinterest Inc. underwent a downturn in its stock during after-hours trading on Thursday after the unveiling of its financial results, which encompassed a revenue miss and uninspiring guidance.

For the fiscal fourth quarter, Pinterest disclosed a net income of $201.2 million, or 29 cents per share, marking a significant surge from the net income of $17.5 million, or 3 cents per share, recorded in the corresponding quarter of the previous year.

Adjusted earnings were pegged at 53 cents per share. Despite these encouraging figures, revenue registered a modest uptick of 12% to $981.3 million, in contrast to $877.2 million in the analogous period the preceding year.

The market reaction was swift and erratic, with shares initially dropping approximately 23% upon the report’s release, before rebounding to a slight gain. Nonetheless, by the conclusion of the after-hours session, the stock had descended by 9%.

Pinterest’s Chief Executive, Bill Ready, remarked on the robust fourth quarter, marking the culmination of a transformative year for the company.

Pinterest 2024 shares
Pinterest Inc. (Credits: Google Finance)

The worldwide monthly active users soared to a record-breaking 498 million, demonstrating an 11% surge compared to the previous year, predominantly propelled by Gen Zers.

During a conference call with analysts, Ready disclosed that the company is currently in the process of developing an AI-based automated advertising system.

Furthermore, he unveiled Google’s forthcoming collaboration as a third-party ad-integration partner, building upon Pinterest’s existing partnership with Amazon.com Inc.

Looking forward, Pinterest anticipates first-quarter revenue ranging between $690 million and $705 million. Analysts surveyed by FactSet are expecting first-quarter revenue of $702 million.

Despite a decline in food and beverage advertising during the fourth quarter, Chief Financial Officer Julia Brau Donnelly conveyed confidence in a promising start for the first quarter.

Pinterest
Revenue sees modest improvement, up 12% to $981.3 million (Credits: Pinterest)

Advertising expenditure emerged as a pivotal factor in the earnings report, echoing patterns noted in reports from other major players such as Meta Platforms Inc., Alphabet Inc.’s Google, and Snap Inc.

Meta and Google showcased notable strides in ad revenue, establishing a lofty standard for Pinterest and other players in the industry.

Insider Intelligence principal analyst Jeremy Goldman pointed out that Pinterest’s Q4 figures, although commendable, could encounter scrutiny from the market, particularly following Meta’s remarkable performance the preceding week.

In the past year, Pinterest’s stock has surged by 64%, surpassing the broader S&P 500 index, which saw a 22% increase.

The market’s reaction to Pinterest’s recent financial results underscores the elevated expectations and competitive environment within the digital advertising realm.

Small-Cap Stocks Bear The Brunt of Sell-Off

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Small-cap stocks faced significant pressure as the market encountered challenges on Tuesday, dragging a closely monitored index back into negative territory for the year.

The small cap-centric Russell 2000 witnessed a decline of over 3% during Tuesday’s trading session.

In contrast, the broader S&P 500 experienced a loss of approximately 1.3%. Following this decline, the Russell 2000 was down roughly 3% for the year.

Small cap stock
The Russell 2000’s decline returns it to a 3% loss for the year, reversing briefly positive trends

This signifies a reversal to trading in negative territory following a brief surge that momentarily pushed the index into positive territory compared to the beginning of 2024.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 remains up by 4% year to date, further highlighting the turbulent period for small-cap stocks.

Spotify’s Stock Climbs Post-Earnings on Unexpected User Growth

Spotify Technology SA exceeded Wall Street expectations in its latest quarter, driving an uptick in its stock during premarket trading.

The music-streaming behemoth reported 602 million monthly active users in the fourth quarter, marking a 5% increase from the previous quarter and surpassing analysts’ forecasts of 601 million, according to FactSet data.

Furthermore, Spotify disclosed 236 million premium subscribers, a 4% uptick from the third quarter and surpassing analysts’ projected 235 million.

Spotify credited its robust performance to significant growth in Latin America and other Rest of World regions. The company highlighted the better-than-expected response to a promotional campaign, particularly in terms of premium subscriber uptake.

Despite exceeding expectations on subscriber metrics, Spotify slightly missed revenue targets, reporting €3.67 billion compared to analysts’ projected €3.72 billion.

Nonetheless, the company achieved an all-time high in advertising-supported revenue, reaching €501 million. Spotify’s gross margin of 26.7% slightly exceeded the company’s guidance of 26.6%.

Spotify 2024 shares
Spotify Technology shares (Credits: Google Finance)

This positive news prompted a 5% surge in shares during premarket trading on Tuesday.

In the fourth quarter, Spotify posted a net loss of €70 million, or 36 cents per share, a notable improvement compared to the €430 million loss, or €2.93 per share, in the same period last year.

The results surpassed analysts’ projections, who had expected a loss of 37 cents per share.

Looking ahead to the first quarter, Spotify forecasts 618 million monthly active users and 239 million premium subscribers. While slightly below the FactSet consensus of 619 million MAUs and 238 million premium subscribers, the company remains upbeat.

CEO of Spotify
Daniel Ek- CEO of Spotify

Spotify anticipates total revenue of €3.6 billion for the first quarter, in line with market expectations. However, it predicts that currency fluctuations will negatively impact year-over-year revenue growth by 250 basis points.

Overall, Spotify’s favorable user growth and improved financial metrics, coupled with strong performance in key regions and effective promotional campaigns, have bolstered investor confidence, evident in the rise in premarket stock trading.

Stocks Set To Drive Tech Sector Past ‘Magnificent 7’ Era

During the previous year, worries among stock investors centered on the apprehension that technology companies with a disruptive impact would not perform as well, given the context of higher interest rates and a weaker macroeconomic environment.

Nevertheless, this uncertainty presented a unique opportunity for investors to enter various segments of the innovative tech ecosystem, especially in software and semiconductors.

In 2023, there was a surge in excitement surrounding generative artificial intelligence (AI), which dominated U.S. equity-market sentiment and wealth creation.

The standout performers referred to as the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks—Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon.com, Nvidia, Meta Platforms, and Tesla—experienced significant increases in their share prices, contributing to an impressive 70% of the absolute performance of the Nasdaq Composite Index.

These increases were not only remarkable but also warranted, as the earnings per share for these companies increased by at least 50%.

Magnificent 7
Smaller tech stocks face challenges amid rising interest rates.

On the contrary, smaller tech stocks encountered obstacles, as evidenced by the MSCI ACWI Global Small Cap Tech index registering a 5% decrease over the previous two years.

This downturn was linked to a less robust spending environment and the strain on valuations due to increased interest rates.

The growth path of the tech sector fell behind its usual trajectory, with global information technology (IT) expenditure expanding below its historical norms, reaching 2.9% in 2022 and 3.5% in 2023.

The multiples for smaller tech stocks faced additional pressure as the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond rate surged from 1.6% at the start of 2022 to 3.9% by the conclusion of 2023.

However, as 2024 progresses, the growth rate for global IT spending is projected to more than double.

With the Federal Reserve nearing the conclusion of its cycle of interest rate hikes, the strain on multiples is anticipated to alleviate, suggesting a potential change in market leadership.

Magnificent 7
Goldman Sachs highlights AMD, Micron, Mercado Libre, and HubSpot for growth.

Amidst this shifting landscape, investors are counseled to expand their attention beyond the Magnificent Seven.

Especially appealing valuations are discernible in the software sector, where the variance between the swiftest- and slowest-growing companies remains minimal.

This offers superb opportunities for investors to delve into the most transformative segments of the market at favorable prices.

Pipelines are emerging across various industries and applications, spanning next-generation data storage, cybersecurity, and software development tools.

Driven by a strengthening spending environment and a more favorable rate backdrop, the beneficiaries of AI are expected to extend beyond the Magnificent Seven.

Innovation is advancing swiftly, with companies unveiling new solutions, products, and applications poised to propel growth.

Goldman Sachs Asset Management highlights various investment opportunities for companies positioned to partake in a shift in tech leadership.

Stocks such as AMD, Micron Technology, MercadoLibre, and HubSpot are singled out as potential beneficiaries of these growth trends in 2024.

Considering the industry’s escalating disruption and the potential for wealth creation opportunities, investors must contemplate dedicated allocations to tech.

Dow Drops 500+ Points, Set for Biggest Sell-Off Since March

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Stocks experienced a decline on Tuesday following inflation data for January that surpassed expectations, causing Treasury yields to surge and casting doubt on the Federal Reserve’s ability to implement multiple rate cuts throughout the year, a crucial component of the bullish scenario for the equity market.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average witnessed a loss of 516 points, equivalent to 1.3%, marking its most significant decline since March 2023, when it dropped by 1.63%.

Simultaneously, the S&P 500 decreased by 1.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell by 1.7%.

The consumer price index (CPI) for January rose by 0.3% compared to December. On an annual basis, CPI increased by 3.1%.

Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had anticipated a month-over-month CPI increase of 0.2% in January and a year-over-year rise of 2.9%.

Dow Jones stock
Microsoft experienced a decline of 1.4%, and Amazon dropped by 1.4%. (Credits: Google Finance)

Core prices, excluding volatile food and energy components, increased by 0.4% month over month and 3.9% from a year ago. Predictions had pointed to a 0.3% rise in core CPI for January and a 3.7% increase from the previous year.

“This may well serve as a convenient pretext to temper some of the exuberance from the high-flying market that has enjoyed universal gains thus far this year,” remarked Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial.

“The CPI figures reported today, slightly hotter than anticipated, serve as tangible evidence that we’re not on a straightforward trajectory, but rather, we’re moving in a direction that leads downward.”

Following the CPI data release, the 2-year Treasury yield surged above 4.6%, while the 10-year yield exceeded 4.27%.

S&P 500
S&P 500 decreased by 1.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell by 1.7%

Tech giants such as Microsoft and Amazon, which had propelled the market to record highs amid declining rates, spearheaded the losses in Tuesday’s trading session. Microsoft experienced a decline of 1.4%, and Amazon dropped by 1.4%.

In corporate developments, JetBlue Airways saw a surge of 12% following activist investor Carl Icahn’s disclosure of a nearly 10% stake in the airline.

On the other hand, toymaker Hasbro experienced a 6% decline after falling short of analyst expectations for the fourth quarter. Meanwhile, shares of Avis Budget Group declined by 20% due to disappointing fourth-quarter revenue.